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Ukraine Notes - twice in as many days!
May. 15th, 2022 01:47 amThis is too big to sit on, especially if it comes to fruition soon!
The head of Ukraine's military intelligence, Major General Kyrylo Budanov, in an interview with the international affairs editor for Sky News, says that a coup is in process in Russia to depose Putin. For his bona fides, Budanov correctly predicted when Russia was going to invade. He seems to be a pretty straight-up, no-nonsense guy.
Needless to say, this is big. There is, of course, no telling what this would mean in terms of the invasion. We can hope that the best possible outcome would be a cessation of hostilities and soon a withdrawal of Russian forces, but it's possible that an even bigger nutter could take Putin's place and make things worse. Or that the coup could fail. By their nature, coups introduce a lot of instability in a country and there are frequently follow-on coups as the replacement administration is vulnerable and hasn't fully consolidated their power, so another group of opportunists can take their chance at trying to grab the reins. Why not!
The General goes on to say that Russia is little more than a large group of thugs with guns, and that the tipping point will be in mid August and the war should be over by the end of the year.
Now, could this guy be blowing PR smoke trying to encourage a coup against Putin? Obviously yes. But so far, the Ukrainians seem to have been fairly honest in their war-related announcements.
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-military-intelligence-chief-optimistic-of-russian-defeat-saying-war-will-be-over-by-end-of-year-12612320
https://fortune.com/2022/05/14/does-putin-have-cancer-coup-underway-blood-cancer-ukraine-war/
A few things under the cut. And it's pretty good news, for a change.
( Read more... )
The head of Ukraine's military intelligence, Major General Kyrylo Budanov, in an interview with the international affairs editor for Sky News, says that a coup is in process in Russia to depose Putin. For his bona fides, Budanov correctly predicted when Russia was going to invade. He seems to be a pretty straight-up, no-nonsense guy.
Needless to say, this is big. There is, of course, no telling what this would mean in terms of the invasion. We can hope that the best possible outcome would be a cessation of hostilities and soon a withdrawal of Russian forces, but it's possible that an even bigger nutter could take Putin's place and make things worse. Or that the coup could fail. By their nature, coups introduce a lot of instability in a country and there are frequently follow-on coups as the replacement administration is vulnerable and hasn't fully consolidated their power, so another group of opportunists can take their chance at trying to grab the reins. Why not!
The General goes on to say that Russia is little more than a large group of thugs with guns, and that the tipping point will be in mid August and the war should be over by the end of the year.
Now, could this guy be blowing PR smoke trying to encourage a coup against Putin? Obviously yes. But so far, the Ukrainians seem to have been fairly honest in their war-related announcements.
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-military-intelligence-chief-optimistic-of-russian-defeat-saying-war-will-be-over-by-end-of-year-12612320
https://fortune.com/2022/05/14/does-putin-have-cancer-coup-underway-blood-cancer-ukraine-war/
A few things under the cut. And it's pretty good news, for a change.
( Read more... )
