thewayne: (Default)
[personal profile] thewayne
This is a rumor. This is only a rumor. In the event of an actual announcement....

So the father-in-law of Dominic Cummings, one of BoJo's cabinet, told a reporter that BoJo came back to work after having a very serious run-in with COVID far too soon, and that he's entirely not fit. The problem was, Boris was literally in a damned if you do, damned if you don't position. He either had to get back to work, or resign. If he resigned, he would throw the UK into even more chaos regarding COVID and Brexit than it was already in. If he didn't, he risked wrecking his own health further.

He chose the latter course. And apparently he's paying the price.

And now it's rumored that some time after the first of the year that he's going to resign as Prime Minister. Date unspecified, I guess it depends on how long he can hold out, and possibly how much chaos it looks like Brexit is going to be, the answer to that is MASSIVE.

So a No Deal Brexit is going to happen at the end of the year, shit is going to break all over the UK, the Torries are going to be scrambling to try to patch things up, the Remainers are going to be cringing, the Leavers are going to be shouting "We Won!(?)" and then wondering why the supermarkets are empty and they can't get their prescriptions, and the Europeans are going to be shaking their heads. And probably Nicola Sturgeon and Scotland are going to start preparing a Leave UK/Join EU vote.

It's possible that the UK still might get some deals settled with the EU, but from what I've been reading, it doesn't seem likely. They're still wanting Most Favored status, but entirely on their own terms and with no equal responsibilities, and the EU won't budge, and why should they? England is the one who left the organization, and negotiating is a two-way process. If all you're going to do is demand everything your way, there's little reason for the other side - whom you're very dependent on - to acquiesce.

BoJo's gov't hasn't even been able to strike meaningful deals with America's negotiators! Trade negotiations are a fundamental aspect of government, and the Torries haven't seem to have had much success in that area.

I don't deeply follow UK politics, do any Torries have the following to pick up the pieces and try to follow through on Brexit if BoJo resigns or dies?

https://www.businessinsider.com/dominic-cummings-father-in-law-boris-johnson-will-resign-february-2020-8


There's an interesting series of photos of U.S. Presidents, at the start and end of their presidencies, showing how much of a toll their terms take on them as it's an insanely stressful job. Of course I think that starts after Lincoln. I have no idea if they have a similar series for PMs, I would imagine it would show similar changes.

Date: 2020-08-26 05:16 pm (UTC)
motodraconis: (Default)
From: [personal profile] motodraconis
When May left, Boris just took over and was free to name an election date of his choosing.

But yes, for the doners, No deal is the important thing, they will then leave the country and not care who tries to fix the mess.

Date: 2020-08-26 06:49 pm (UTC)
dewline: Text - "On the DEWLine" (Default)
From: [personal profile] dewline
What if they decide that if the mess ever gets fixed, then they themselves will be screwed?

Date: 2020-08-26 07:19 pm (UTC)
motodraconis: (Default)
From: [personal profile] motodraconis
They have already decided this, which is why they have been funding Vote Leave and getting their people in place in government. The current lot no longer even bother to hide their backhanders and corruption, they are never sacked or punished any more.
Though "screwed" is a bit melodramatic. If by a miracle this was fixed, they might have to pay some tax, it's not exactly life and death stuff for them, more pure greed.

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